Mathematical modelling of transmission dynamics of COVID-19 and its Control

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Implementing Organization

Vellore Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Prof. Mini Ghosh

Professor

Vellore Institute of Technology

About

The study aims to understand (i) the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in different countries in the world; (ii) modeling the spread of COVID-19 in India and validation with data; (iii) understanding the impact of different control measures in the infection prevalence of this disease; (iv) impact of identification of hot-spot and subsequent quarantine measures on the control of COVID-19; (v) role of asymptomatic cases in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19: (vi) impact of delay in detection of COVID-positive cases in the infection prevalence of this disease.

Patents

Achievements

Outcome / Output

An elaborate mathematical model for COVID-19 has been formulated. Estimation for the key parameters has been obtained using available data from different states of India. The time dependent control profiles of different controls to contain the disease in a specified duration of time is obtained. The model is fitted to the data for the states of Maharashtra, Delhi, Tamil Nadu and overall, India in the early stages of the disease.

Publications

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Funding Organization

Department of Science and Technology (DST)

Quick Information

Focus Area

Modelling and Forecasting of COVID-19

Start Year

2020

Sanction Amount

₹ NA

Status

Ongoing

Contact

minighosh@vit.ac.in

Output

No. of Research Paper

Technologies (If Any)

No. of PhD Produced

No. of Patents

Filed : 00

Grant : 00

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Research Projects