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Development of dynamic mathematical modelling for COVID-19 spread and containment

Implementing Organization

National Institute of Technology Delhi
Principal Investigator
Dr Anurag Singh
Assistant Professor
|
National Institute of Technology Delhi

About

This study proposes to develop a model by dividing the existing human contact population into various compartments.

Patents

NA

Achievements

NA

Outcome / Output

The proposed model was simulated and compared with real data of COVID-19 of India. The impact of ?as (spreading rate of asymptomatic infected individuals) and ?t (rate of individuals being tested) have been investigated on the epidemiological process. It was found that ?as plays a major role in the spreading of infection while increasing the ?t, increases the symptomatic infection and isolation. The basic reproduction rate (R0) which tells about the secondary infection for the proposed model has been plotted. The curve of R0 of the proposed model shows a similarity with the curve of R0 with real data of COVID-19. The critical threshold for the proposed model has also been derived to show the outbreak of infection.

Publications

NA
Funding Organization
Funding Organization
Department of Science and Technology (DST)
Quick Information
Focus Area
Mathematical modelling for COVID-19
Start Year
2020
End Year
2020
Sanction Amount
₹ NA
Status
Completed
Contact
anuragsg@nitdelhi.ac.in
Output
No. of Research Paper
00
Technologies (If Any)
00
No. of PhD Produced
NA
No. of Patents
Filed : 00
Grant : 00
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