Effects of non-pharmaceutical measures on COVID-19 pandemic in India and network-based forecast beyond relaxation of lockdown

Acces sibility Controls

Implementing Organization

Indian Institute of Information Technology Guwahati

Principal Investigator

Dr Surajit Panja

Assistant Professor

Indian Institute of Information Technology Guwahati

About

This research focuses on understanding the impacts of periodic relaxations and periodic impositions of lockdown, forecast the optimal duration of these lockdowns, and analysing through mathematical model whether it would be possible to achieve disease-free state in the population of the country through non-pharmaceutical measures (NPM) only.

Patents

Achievements

Outcome / Output

It was observed that people with various degrees of susceptibilities to social influence based on their current opinion can collectively inhibit the disease spreading by resorting to reaching consensus for adoption of vigilant measures. Sufficient condition for exponential stability of the DFE is obtained and the lower bound of agent V-S (Vigilant- Susceptible) ratio is found out in terms of an agent’s exposed transmission rate, incubation rate, and incoming aggregate physical interactions.

Publications

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Funding Organization

Department of Science and Technology (DST)

Quick Information

Focus Area

COVID-19 Management

Start Year

2020

End Year

2020

Sanction Amount

₹ NA

Status

Completed

Contact

surajit@iiitg.ac.in

Output

No. of Research Paper

Technologies (If Any)

No. of PhD Produced

No. of Patents

Filed : 00

Grant : 00

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Research Projects